Bear Market Over, New Bull Run On Regardless Of Interest Rates?
Pantera Capital’s Dan Morehead thinks the crypto winter is over and has been over for months, now,
In a recent newsletter, Pantera argues the most recent crypto bear market ended on November 21st and lasted a total of 376 days, more than the median bear market length of 307 days.
Pantera’s investment associate Sehaj Singh notes that Bitcoin (BTC) saw a drawdown of 77% over that time, compared to the median bear market amount of 73%.
“Pantera has been through 10 years of Bitcoin cycles, and I’ve traded through 35 years of similar cycles. I believe that blockchain assets have seen the lows and that we’re in the next bull market cycle – regardless of what happens in the interest-rate-sensitive asset classes.
The decline from November 2021 to November 2022 was the median of the typical cycle. This is the only bear market to more than completely wipe out the previous bull market. In this case giving back 136% of the previous rally.”
Pantera believes crypto is beginning to “grind higher” and is fully in the next bull market cycle already.
